Why Penn Climate is primed to provide Weighty Ten a trio of name contenders

Rick


In relation to Weighty Ten soccer, the dialog inevitably finally ends up that specialize in the competitors who rule the convention terrain — Michigan and Ohio Climate.

And that’s comprehensible. The convention championship has been claimed through a kind of two systems for 6 directly years, upcoming all, and each competed within the four-team School Soccer Playoff this hour season.

However Penn Climate has been scratching and clawing to get into the combo, as head tutor James Franklin has methodically labored to manufacture a group that may compete with, and even surpass, that duo.

[Does Penn State have the pieces? How James Franklin built for this moment]

Is that this the 12 months Franklin and Penn Climate assemble it occur?

FOX Sports activities faculty soccer professionals RJ Younger, Michael Cohen and Bryan Fischer are right here to weigh in on all angles of the subject.

On paper, that is essentially the most proficient roster James Franklin has ever had, so the query is unassuming: Will Penn Climate recover from the hump and succeed in both the Weighty Ten Championship sport or the School Soccer Playoff this season? 

RJ Younger: It’s definitely one of the proficient groups Franklin has ever loved. The one actual query is can he get enough quantity out of quarterback Drew Allar, who has been essentially the most proficient Penn Climate participant at his place for 2 years now.

RJ’s Preseason Manage 25: 3 Weighty Ten groups within the zenith 5!

RJ's Preseason Top 25: Three Big Ten teams in the top five!

Bryan Fischer: No longer best is that this essentially the most proficient roster Franklin has had in Glad Valley, however it’s additionally arguably the most efficient roster that may mount a problem to the Michigan-Ohio Climate duopoly that has ruled the Weighty Ten East over the hour a number of years.

Left take on Olu Fashanu would had been a top-10 select within the 2023 NFL Draft had he now not opted to come back again to college, and younger quarterback Allar has as top an upside as any Nittany Lion beneath middle since Kerry Collins. I’ve beloved what I’ve visible out of KeAndre Lambert-Smith at wideout, and the keenness Manny Diaz has for his protection is palpable. This group is stacked. 

But I nonetheless have a crispy day pondering they or any one can take off the elusive sweep (or no less than move 1-1) wanted in opposition to the Buckeyes and the Wolverines throughout the season. Historical past tells us this can be a uncommon enough quantity incidence (the endmost day a group beat each systems was once Michigan Climate in 2015) and the optical take a look at reconfirms how crispy it’s going to be for PSU to perform it in 2023.  

Franklin would possibly neatly have a top-10 group this season — and will have to given the skill readily available. That it should best be just right enough quantity for moment or 3rd within the section alternatively displays simply how tough a role getting over the hump in reality is. 

Michael Cohen: That’s an important stat from Bryan to provide an explanation for simply how tough it’s to overcome Ohio Climate and Michigan in the similar season, which is why it feels a little naive to mention ‘yes, Penn State can do it’ with any sort of authority.

But what if the Nittany Lions don’t have to? What if this is the year when Ohio State, Michigan and Penn State are so evenly matched that all of them lose to each other, in some form or fashion, so that each program ends its season 11-1 overall and 8-1 in the league? It wasn’t terribly far away from happening in 2022 when the Wolverines went 9-0, the Buckeyes finished 8-1 and the Nittany Lions were 7-2 in Big Ten play. 

On paper, Franklin’s team has all the pieces to emulate the winning formula Michigan relied on each of the last two years. Penn State has an improved offensive line with an elite prospect at the unit’s most critical spot. It has one of the most electric running back tandems in the country in Nicholas Singleton and Kaytron Allen to take some pressure off inexperienced quarterback Allar — just as the Wolverines did with both Cade McNamara and J.J. McCarthy. And the Penn State defense, coordinated by Diaz, should be among the best in the country for a second consecutive season.

So while it might be a stretch to think the Nittany Lions can defeat both Michigan and Ohio State in the same season, knocking off one of them is well within the realm of possibility. And if the tiebreakers were to fall in Penn State’s favor, that might be enough to get Franklin back to the Big Ten title game for the first time since 2016. 

Interviews with James Franklin, Matt Rhule and more

Interviews with James Franklin, Matt Rhule and more

The Big Ten is loaded with high-level running back duos: Michigan’s Blake Corum and Donovan Edwards, Ohio State’s TreVeyon Henderson and Miyan Williams, Wisconsin’s Braelon Allen and Chez Mellusi, and Penn State’s Singleton and Allen. Where does the Nittany Lions’ duo rank in this hierarchy?

Bryan: If Corum is fully healthy, I’d have a hard time believing anybody in the country, much less Penn State, would have a better duo in the backfield than what they have in Ann Arbor. Both of those guys are not only capable of being a lead back at the highest level, but they’re both equally capable of taking over a game with just a few touches. That’s rare to have in one tailback, much less two.

Still, Singleton-Allen is a heck of a combination after bursting onto the scene as true freshmen and nearly combining for 2,000 yards and 22 touchdowns. If they can add a little bit extra to their game, from pass protection to being more dangerous in the passing game, then the sky is the limit. As is, however, they’re still a solid second place in the Big Ten with the Ohio State pair nipping at their heels. 

Michael: What Bryan hinted at regarding the health of these duos is perhaps the best lens through which to answer the question. Most people would agree that Corum (1,463 yards and 18 TDs last season) and Edwards (991 yards and seven TDs) are the most talented pair in the Big Ten. Corum would have been a mid-round pick in last year’s NFL Draft had he decided to leave school early, and Edwards has already hinted at plans to turn pro after the 2023 campaign. Marrying their combination of top-end speed and elusiveness with what could be one of the best offensive lines in the country for a third straight year seems like a surefire home run. 

WATCH: Nicholas Singleton breaks out for electric 53-yard dash

WATCH: Nicholas Singleton breaks out for electric 53-yard dash

But when it comes to staying healthy, Penn State’s duo of Singleton and Allen was the only tandem in which both players appeared in every game last season. Michigan’s pairing of Corum and Edwards made 23 of a possible 28 combined appearances in 2022, and both players needed offseason surgery, including more than one procedure for the latter. Ohio State’s pairing of Henderson and Williams made 19 of a possible 26 combined appearances with the former having season-ending surgery last fall. And Wisconsin’s pairing of Allen and Mellusi made 21 of a possible 26 combined appearances with the latter having in-season surgery after breaking his wrist last October.

The Wolverines might have more talent than anyone else in the Big Ten, but the edge in durability goes to Penn State based on last year’s body of work.

RJ: Edwards’ skill to come back thru in fat video games — specifically within the Weighty Ten name sport — secures the zenith spot for the company this is Corum and Edwards.

On the other hand, upcoming each Henderson and Williams sustained accidents that compelled them to leave out video games, it’s now not crispy to consider Singleton and Allen because the second-best duo within the convention. Nonetheless, I will’t wait to peer what Allen and Mellusi have to mention upcoming some other season in combination.

For such a lot of James Franklin’s tenure, the Nittany Lions had been trapped with Michigan and Ohio Climate within the Weighty Ten East. Life in and 12 months out, any possible trail to the league’s championship sport runs thru both Ann Arbor or Columbus. What do you notice because the long-term outlook for Penn Climate in an expanded Weighty Ten? 

Michael: Assuming the Weighty Ten doesn’t revert to a scheduling type that incorporates sections following the most recent West Coast additions of Oregon and Washington, the Nittany Lions will have to be overjoyed to departure from the snake pit higher referred to as the Weighty Ten East. Franklin is 1-8 in opposition to Ohio Climate and 3-6 in opposition to Michigan since arriving at Penn Climate in 2014, and his moderate margin of defeat in the ones video games is 10.4 issues in opposition to the Buckeyes and 19.8 issues in opposition to the Wolverines.

It’s additionally remarkable to remember the fact that Penn Climate was once given 0 safe rivalries when the Weighty Ten offered its preliminary 2024 scheduling type referred to as Flex Give protection to Plus. And week the league’s layout will definitely be revised to house two extra groups within the Pacific Presen Zone, it stands to explanation why that many of the safe rivalries can nonetheless be safeguarded for the generation. That implies Franklin’s group is prone to have extra year-to-year variance in its time table than alternative groups, and that roughly randomization over day will have to govern to bigger fluctuations in issue from one season to the later. Some years, the cube will merely roll in Penn Climate’s partiality. 

The Nittany Lions already had the infrastructure, sources and nationwide recruiting bottom to be a perennial contender in an expanded 12-team playoff whether or not the Weighty Ten did away with sections or now not. Now they’ll departure from assured matchups in opposition to Ohio Climate and Michigan week warding off the sorts of tough competition video games that may hamstring a program. That are supposed to be a welcome reprieve for Franklin & Co. later season. 

RJ: With sections long gone, it’s now not crispy to peer Penn Climate enjoying within the Weighty Ten name sport extra frequently going forward. Upload to that the growth of the CFP to twelve groups, and lets input a unutilized blonde future of Penn Climate soccer — most likely even its first convention name since 2016.

Bryan: Possibly disagree group within the nation will get pleasure from the mix of sections going away within the Weighty Ten blended with a unutilized 12-team playoff greater than Penn Climate will. So continuously beneath Franklin, we’ve visible the Nittany Lions height upcoming within the season upcoming already struggling a loss to both Michigan or Ohio Climate. Quickly, faculty soccer is set to move from underappreciating groups that can be enhanced because the 12 months is going directly to all of sudden rewarding them as they continue to be within the nationwide name chase for some distance longer.

Usual playoff appearances, and profitable video games in stated playoff, will have to now not best grow to be the function however a ordinary incidence beneath Franklin come 2024 and past. This has been some of the more potent systems of the hour decade, and it definitely turns out just like the training personnel and management are shifting to profit from the unutilized global line within the game in techniques they prior to now may now not.

That stated, I will’t support however assume that’s merely shifting the goalposts relatively ailing the ground ultimately. There are nonetheless disadvantages PSU has to do business in with that aren’t provide for alternative name contenders like Georgia, Alabama or Clemson. The similar is right for a few of their impaired and unutilized convention friends like Ohio Climate and USC. The deficit of sections will support drastically relating to belief through now not having an automated one or two losses from the ones journeys to Ann Arbor and Columbus however the total status the Nittany Lions to find themselves — being just right however now not superb enough quantity — nonetheless will most likely observe way past later season. 

RJ Younger is a countrywide faculty soccer scribbler and analyst for FOX Sports activities and the host of the podcast “The Number One College Football Show.” Apply him on Twitter at @RJ_Young and subscribe to “The RJ Young Show” on YouTube.

Michael Cohen covers faculty soccer and basketball for FOX Sports activities with an emphasis at the Weighty Ten. Apply him on Twitter at @Michael_Cohen13.

Bryan Fischer is a school soccer scribbler for FOX Sports activities. He has been overlaying faculty athletics for just about 20 years at retailers equivalent to NBC Sports activities, CBS Sports activities, Yahoo! Sports activities and NFL.com amongst others. Apply him on Twitter at @BryanDFischer.



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