NFL Day 6 choices, agenda, odds, accidents, myth guidelines

Rick


The Day 6 NFL agenda for the 2023 season is stacked with stunning matchups, and we now have you coated with what you wish to have to grasp heading into the weekend. Our NFL People newshounds deliver us the largest keys to each contest and a daring prediction for each and every matchup.

Moreover, ESPN Stats & Data supplies a heavy stat to grasp and a having a bet nugget for each and every duel, and our Soccer Energy Index (FPI) is going within the numbers with a contest projection. Analytics essayist Seth Walder choices out each and every matchup’s largest X issue, and myth analyst Eric Moody fingers out useful myth soccer intel. In the end, Walder and Moody give us ultimate rating choices for each contest. The whole thing you wish to have to grasp is right here in a single spot to assistance you get in a position for a loaded weekend of NFL soccer.

Let’s get into the total Day 6 slate, together with a Ravens-Titans showdown in London, a Belichick-McDaniels reunion in Vegas and an NFC North matchup between the Vikings and Bears. All of it culminates with a “Monday Night Football” matchup between the Cowboys and Chargers on ESPN. (Recreation instances are Sunday except another way famous.)

Bounce to a matchup:
BAL-TEN | SF-CLE | SEA-CIN
MIN-CHI | WSH-ATL | CAR-MIA
IND-JAX | NO-HOU | NE-LV
ARI-LAR | PHI-NYJ | DET-TB
NYG-BUF | DAL-LAC

Thursday: KC 19, DEN 8
Bye: GB, PIT

9:30 a.m. ET | NFL Community | Unfold: BAL -4 (41)

Storyline to observe: The Titans have scored touchdowns on most effective 35.3% in their pink zone visits this season, touchdown them in a attach with the Texans for 1/3 worst within the NFL. In the meantime, the Ravens’ pink zone protection has give up touchdowns on an NFL-low 25% of opposing offenses’ visits within the 20-yard order. Getting seven issues in lieu of kicking garden objectives might be the residue, as 3 of the Titans’ 5 video games this season were made up our minds by means of one rating. — Turron Davenport

Daring prediction: Zay Flora will rating his first profession TD. The Ravens rookie receiver is surely due; Flora is connect with Jaguars tight finish Evan Engram for essentially the most catches this season (29) with out achieving the tip zone. However the Titans’ secondary has been excellent, given up simply 5 passing touchdowns to this point. — Jamison Hensley

Stat to grasp: The Titans have scored fewer than 30 issues in 23 instantly video games, the longest energetic streak within the NFL and the longest in franchise historical past.

Matchup X issue: Titans defensive lineman Denico Autry. When coated up as an edge rusher, Autry has a 24% move accelerate win fee, which might rank proper at the edge of the lead 10 if he certified. And he has 4 sacks. Autry has the prospective to disrupt the Baltimore move contest. — Walder

Accidents: Ravens | Titans

What to grasp for myth: Titans cornerback Kristian Fulton has give up 267 yards this season. Josh Downs, Ja’Marr Chase, Michael Pittman Jr. and others have exploited this matchup all season. Jackson and Flora will have to do the similar. See Day 6 scores. — Moody

Having a bet nugget: Each groups have had 4 in their first 5 video games this season proceed underneath the overall, together with 3 instantly. Learn extra.

Moody’s select: Ravens 28, Titans 23
Walder’s select: Ravens 24, Titans 20
FPI prediction: BAL, 68.7% (by means of a median of 6.7 issues)

Matchup must-reads: Beckham says ankle higher, however he has to support … Titans sticking to identical regimen as 2018 searching for first win in London … Ravens receivers will ‘be higher’ later 5-drop contest … Titans’ Fulton on consequences: Withered to play games towards refs and WRs


1 p.m. ET | FOX | Unfold: SF -6.5 (37)

Storyline to observe: This contest pits one of the crucial NFL’s ideal offenses towards one among its ideal defenses. The 49ers are Deny. 2 in offensive potency (87.1), day the Browns are Deny. 1 in defensive (87.0). The 49ers have scored 30 issues in 8 instantly video games, the fifth-longest streak in NFL historical past — however the Browns have give up simply 5 offensive touchdowns all season. — Jake Trotter

Daring prediction: 49ers defensive finish Nick Bosa gets 3 sacks. In spite of getting constant power, Bosa has simply 1.5 sacks during the first 5 video games. However there’s reason why to consider a breakout is coming. Browns quarterbacks are averaging 3.09 seconds to throw, the second-slowest common within the league. Maximum groups emphasize getting the ball out fast towards the Niners, however that hasn’t been a energy of Cleveland. Regardless who begins at QB for the Browns, Bosa can get his sack overall again not off course right here. — Nick Wagoner

Stat to grasp: This will probably be Cleveland defensive finish Myles Garrett’s 89th profession contest. His 80 sacks are the 1/3 maximum by means of any participant in his first 90 profession video games since 1982, when sacks was authentic, later Corridor of Famer Reggie White (98) and the Steelers’ T.J. Watt (83.5).

Matchup X issue: 49ers offensive take on Trent Williams. Some of the most effective tactics the Browns can win this contest is that if Garrett takes over — which he can. However thankfully for the Niners, Garrett most often strains up towards the left take on, and that’s the place the energy in their offensive order lies. — Walder

Accidents: 49ers | Browns

What to grasp for myth: San Francisco permits the eighth-fewest myth issues in keeping with contest to operating backs. Managers who’re considering of launch Jerome Ford will have to believe different choices. See Day 6 scores. — Moody

Having a bet nugget: The 49ers are 4-0-1 towards the unfold (ATS) this season with 3 instantly covers. They’re the one crew left with out an ATS loss. Learn extra.

Moody’s select: 49ers 28, Browns 14
Walder’s select: 49ers 23, Browns 17
FPI prediction: SF, 66.2% (by means of a median of five.8 issues)

Matchup must-reads: 49ers receivers should cloudless out defenders sooner than catching passes … How Jim Schwartz has remodeled the Browns’ protection … 49ers ship robust commentary to NFL with domination of Cowboys

play games

1:44

Kittle on 49ers’ scorching get started: We needed to clash the field operating this season

George Kittle joins Pat McAfee to crack indisposed the crew’s motivation going into this season later their loss to the Eagles within the NFC Championship contest.


1 p.m. ET | CBS | Unfold: CIN -2.5 (45)

Storyline to observe: This contest will probably be ambitious by means of how smartly Bengals QB Joe Burrow and the offense reply to Seahawks’ move accelerate. Seattle ranks fourth within the NFL in move accelerate win fee (55%), and its defensive entrance has the Bengals’ complete consideration. That crew will probably be a stunning take a look at for Burrow’s mobility as he continues to support from his calf shock. — Ben Child

Daring prediction: The Seahawks will blitz Burrow early and incessantly. When confused this season, Burrow ranks similar the base of the NFL in yards in keeping with struggle (3.1, thirty first), of entirety share (36.4%, twenty sixth) and QBR (10.7, twenty fourth). That’s most probably a made from his injured calf, regardless that it didn’t appear to impact him as a lot endmost presen. With Jamal Adams again from his concussion, the Seahawks — coming off their 11-sack efficiency towards the Giants — will come later Burrow till he proves he can beat their blitzes together with his arm and/or legs. — Brady Henderson

Stat to grasp: The Bengals have gained six instantly regular-season video games towards NFC fighters, the second-longest energetic win streak vs. the opposing convention. (The Eagles have gained 8 instantly vs. the AFC).

Matchup X issue: Seahawks cornerbacks Riq Woolen and Michael Jackson. The reemergence of the Burrow-Ja’Marr Chase connection endmost presen makes the Bengals unhealthy once more. But when the Seahawks’ corners can decelerate Chase, the Bengals’ offense may scuffle with Tee Higgins questionable to play games. — Walder

Accidents: Seahawks | Bengals

What to grasp for myth: The Seahawks’ protection has allowed the second-most myth issues in keeping with contest to large receivers. This can be a excellent signal for myth managers who’ve Burrow, Chase or any other Bengals pass-catcher on their crew. See Day 6 scores. — Moody

Having a bet nugget: The Seahawks have coated in 3 instantly video games. Learn extra.

Moody’s select: Bengals 30, Seahawks 20
Walder’s select: Seahawks 29, Bengals 21
FPI prediction: SEA, 53.5% (by means of a median of one.3 issues)

Matchup must-reads: Seahawks tendencies to observe … Chase referred to as for the ball, after i’m ready a Bengals list … Burrow created ‘particular enchanment’ in breakout efficiency


1 p.m. ET | FOX | Unfold: MIN -2.5 (44.5)

Storyline to observe: Two large receivers are within the highlight for this NFC North showdown for contrasting causes. The Vikings will probably be with out Justin Jefferson later a hamstring shock landed him on injured retain, day Chicago’s DJ Moore is coming off a efficiency towards Washington that earned him NFC Offensive Participant of the Day (230 receiving yards, 3 touchdowns). Jefferson and Moore rank 1/3 (571) and 5th (531), respectively, amongst all avid gamers in receiving yards getting into Day 6. — Courtney Cronin

Daring prediction: Justin Boxes may have extra passing yards than Kirk Cousins. Boxes has thrown for 617 yards in his future two video games, the fourth maximum within the NFL over that extend. Cousins has the NFL’s second-most passing yards this season (1,498), however the Vikings are sure to dial again their passing contest within the being lacking Jefferson. — Kevin Seifert

Stat to grasp: The Vikings are 1-4 this season in one-score video games (11-0 endmost season). They’re the one crew to play games in 5 one-score video games in 2023.

Matchup X issue: Moore. He’s an offseason acquisition who seems to be understanding. Along with recording greater than 500 yards in 5 video games, Moore leads all large receivers and tight results in the Receiver Monitoring Metrics’ General Rating (85) — which measures receivers’ skills to get perceivable, manufacture the catch and generate yards later the catch, all relative to expectation. — Walder

Accidents: Vikings | Bears

What to grasp for myth: The Bears’ protection offers up the third-most myth issues in keeping with contest to operating backs. The Vikings will have to see impartial to certain contest tide towards Chicago, which bodes smartly for Alexander Mattison’s myth outlook. In 4 of his 5 video games this season, he has scored 10 or extra myth issues. See Day 6 scores. — Moody

Having a bet nugget: All 5 Bears video games have long gone over the overall this season. Vikings video games are 4-1 to the over with 3 instantly overs. Learn extra.

Moody’s select: Bears 28, Vikings 24
Walder’s select: Vikings 34, Bears 20
FPI prediction: MIN, 59.6% (by means of a median of three.4 issues)

Matchup must-reads: Cousins says business communicate ‘now not use my future’ … Coming off 5-sack attempt, Bears hoping to energise protection … What’s nearest for the Vikings with out Jefferson?

play games

0:33

Why Matt Bowen sees DJ Moore as a WR1 in Day 6

Matt Bowen explains why DJ Moore will have to be began in all myth lineups in Day 6.


1 p.m. ET | CBS | Unfold: ATL -2.5 (42.5)

Storyline to observe: This may occasionally as soon as once more be a shockingly similar contest — and historical past proves it. The Falcons and Commanders performed in 2021 (Washington gained with 33 seconds left) and in 2022 (Marcus Mariota threw an interception within the Washington finish zone with 1:03 difference), with Washington profitable each instances. The heavy key will probably be at the strains, the place Washington’s gifted defensive entrance will effort to motive havoc for Atlanta quarterback Desmond Ridder, who has been sacked 16 instances in 5 video games. — Michael Rothstein

Daring prediction: Washington defensive finish Chase Younger will power a fumble or interception by means of Ridder. Younger has 3 sacks in his 4 video games and was once extremely energetic within the loss to Chicago in Day 4, with a move accelerate win fee of 36.4%. — John Keim

Stat to grasp: Washington quarterback Sam Howell has been sacked an NFL-high 29 instances this season. David Carr (39 in 2002) is the most-sacked quarterback thru a crew’s first six video games of a season since sacks had been first tracked in 1963.

Matchup X issue: The Commanders’ move accelerate. In spite of having heavy names, the Commanders rank simply twenty sixth in move accelerate win fee. Ridder has taken sacks at a higher-than-average 9% fee, so this can be a heavy alternative to get the unit going. — Walder

Accidents: Commanders | Falcons

What to grasp for myth: Managers will have to mood expectancies on the subject of talent place avid gamers at the Commanders. The Falcons’ protection is permitting most effective 3.8 yards in keeping with speeding struggle to opposing operating backs. Atlanta’s protection additionally does a stunning task containing large receivers, given up the sixth-fewest myth issues in keeping with contest to the location. See Day 6 scores. — Moody

Having a bet nugget: The Falcons are 0-4 ATS of their future 4 video games. Learn extra.

Moody’s select: Falcons 23, Commanders 19
Walder’s select: Falcons 19, Commanders 16
FPI prediction: ATL, 58% (by means of a median of two.8 issues)

Matchup must-reads: Rivera: Deny team of workers adjustments amid Commanders’ skid … Pitts trending within the the appropriate direction … 3 causes for Commanders’ Thursday night time flop vs. Bears


1 p.m. ET | CBS | Unfold: MIA -13.5 (48.5)

Storyline to observe: In spite of their 0-5 list, the Panthers’ competitive protection has discovered some luck this season in getting later opposing quarterbacks. Carolina has the fourth-highest sack fee within the NFL, coupled with the second-best third-down protection (29.8%). Then again, the Panthers additionally personal by means of a long way the league’s worst anticipated issues allowed (EPA) when protecting the run (minus-14.4) and can face a Dolphins offense that ranks moment in EPA in keeping with accelerate (16.8). — Marcel Louis-Jacques

Daring prediction: The Dolphins gained’t lead the 70 issues that they had previous this past towards Denver — however will lead 50. The Carolina protection might be with out two of its secondary starters and most likely 3 if cornerback Donte Jackson has a setback. Miami gets some assistance from its protection with a landing towards a Panthers offense that surrendered 21 issues off giveover endmost presen in a 42-24 loss to the Lions. — David Newton

Stat to grasp: The Dolphins have 2,568 overall yards of offense this season, essentially the most thru 5 video games in NFL historical past. Miami wishes 489 extra Sunday to move the 2000 Rams (3,056) for many yards thru six video games.

Matchup X issue: Closing unexpected occasions. I’m looking to believe which participant goes to swing this contest and, smartly, it’s committing to jerk greater than that. Wild climate? Ordinary fumble good fortune? Tua Tagovailoa waking up at the incorrect facet of the mattress? The Panthers may want all 3. — Walder

Accidents: Panthers | Dolphins

What to grasp for myth: Over the future 4 video games, Panthers receiver Adam Thielen has averaged 11 objectives. In 3 of the ones 4 video games, he scored 20 or extra myth issues. Thielen will have to be busy towards the Dolphins in a matchup the Panthers usually are taking part in from in the back of. See Day 6 scores. — Moody

Having a bet nugget: The Panthers are 0-4-1 ATS this season. Learn extra.

Moody’s select: Dolphins 42, Panthers 23
Walder’s select: Dolphins 29, Panthers 12
FPI prediction: MIA, 87.6% (by means of a median of 15.8 issues)

Matchup must-reads: How Tagovailoa formed the trail of Younger … With Achane on IR, Dolphins glance to Mostert & Co. to fill the void … Burns vents over Panthers’ struggles in rebuilding past

play games

1:46

Is the power already on Bryce Younger to be successful?

Chuck Pagano, Pat McAfee and A.J. Hawk speak about Bryce Younger’s struggles early in his NFL profession.


1 p.m. ET | CBS | Unfold: JAX -4 (45.5)

Storyline to observe: Minshew Mania returns to its birthplace. Colts quarterback Gardner Minshew spent his first two seasons with the Jaguars and went 7-13 as a starter in 2019-20 sooner than the crew drafted Trevor Lawrence Deny. 1 general in 2021. The larger go back, alternatively, is Indy operating again Jonathan Taylor to a bigger function. He has on a tight schedule for 522 yards and 3 touchdowns in 5 video games towards the Jaguars. The Jaguars’ protection has been superb towards the run to this point, permitting 81.6 yards in keeping with contest (ranked 5th within the NFL). That’s the matchup that may resolve the end result. — Mike DiRocco

Daring prediction: The Colts will accelerate for a mixed 200-plus yards later averaging 148 yards the future 4 video games. This would be the moment contest with Taylor again at the garden, and trainer Shane Steichen mentioned he intends to provide Taylor an greater function Sunday along veteran Zack Moss. The Colts are anticipated to incline closely on their operating contest, with launch quarterback Anthony Richardson now on injured retain and anticipated to pass over 4 or extra video games on account of a shoulder shock. — Stephen Holder

Stat to grasp: Lawrence has a 75 QBR (score fourth within the NFL) and a 7.7% off-target share (moment lowest within the NFL) towards zone protection this season. That’s impressive since the Colts importance zone protection on the Tenth-highest fee within the NFL.

Matchup X issue: Colts edge rusher Kwity Paye. He’s taking part in reverse Jaguars rookie take on Anton Harrison (70.1%), who has the worst move ban win fee at take on within the league. Paye has a probability to throw Lawrence off his contest. — Walder

Accidents: Colts | Jaguars

What to grasp for myth: The Colts’ protection has give up the ninth-most myth issues in keeping with contest to large receivers. Calvin Ridley will have to be in myth lineups Sunday. He leads the Jaguars with 15.1 yards in keeping with reception. See Day 6 scores. — Moody

Having a bet nugget: Minshew is 8-14 ATS in his future 22 begins. Learn extra.

Moody’s select: Jaguars 28, Colts 23
Walder’s select: Colts 23, Jaguars 21
FPI prediction: JAX, 65.5% (by means of a median of five.5 issues)

Matchup must-reads: Maintaining Richardson wholesome already a significant factor for Colts … How the Jaguars handled progress fatigue in preparation for Colts


1 p.m. ET | FOX | Unfold: NO -1.5 (42.5)

Storyline to observe: Two strengths will crash Sunday, because the Saints have allowed the sixth-lowest QBR (46.4), and their seven interceptions are connect for 1/3 maximum within the NFL. At the turn facet, Texans rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud is 1/3 in passing yards (1,461) and hasn’t thrown an interception in an NFL-record 186 passes. — DJ Bien-Aime

Daring prediction: The Saints will finish Stroud’s historical streak by means of giving him his first interception. They’ve already connect endmost season’s interception overall, and they’ve an interception in 4 of 5 video games (and a giveover in they all). With the Saints’ knack for forcing giveover this season, it kind of feels like they may pop out on lead in that regard. — Katherine Terrell

Stat to grasp: Fresh Orleans operating again Alvin Kamara has 50 profession speeding touchdowns, two shy of tying Mark Ingram for essentially the most in Saints historical past. Kamara was the Saints all-time chief in overall touchdowns (73) endmost presen towards the Patriots, passing Marques Colston.

Matchup X issue: Saints proper take on Ryan Ramczyk. He’s one of the crucial ideal tackles within the league, however he has a key task towards Deny. 3 general select Will Anderson Jr. this presen. Anderson hasn’t had a sack in 4 video games, however they’re coming, as he ranks 5th in move accelerate win fee at edge. — Walder

Accidents: Saints | Texans

What to grasp for myth: The Texans’ protection permits the seventh-most myth issues in keeping with contest to operating backs, and Kamara has scored 19 or extra myth issues in two consecutive video games. See Day 6 scores. — Moody

Having a bet nugget: The Saints have long gone underneath the overall in 11 instantly video games, connect with the 2003 Expenses for the longest such streak within the future 35 seasons. Learn extra.

Moody’s select: Texans 20, Saints 17
Walder’s select: Texans 27, Saints 17
FPI prediction: NO, 54.3% (by means of a median of one.5 issues)

Matchup must-reads: May Saints’ stingy D be first to select off Stroud? … Texans really feel ‘very similar’ to getting run contest, Pierce not off course … Moreau rankings 1st TD since most cancers prognosis … Stroud units list for passes with out select to start out profession


4:05 p.m. ET | CBS | Unfold: LV -3 (41.5)

Storyline to observe: The Patriots were outscored by means of a mixed 72-3 within the future two video games. The Raiders’ protection has give up simply 13 issues within the future six quarters day forcing 4 giveover in that span. But the training workers are so in detail usual with each and every different, given such a lot of Fresh England ties at the Raiders’ team of workers, that fresh historical past will have to be thrown to the breeze. — Paul Gutierrez

Daring prediction: The Patriots, who’ve a league-low two takeaways, will fit their season overall towards former Patriots QB Jimmy Garoppolo, who has thrown seven interceptions this season. In the meantime, Raiders kicker Daniel Carlson, who i’m ready the NFL list for garden objectives of 50-plus yards endmost season (11) however is 0-for-2 on such makes an attempt this past, will ship his first from lengthy field in 2023. — Mike Reiss

Stat to grasp: Raiders trainer Josh McDaniels is 2-0 towards Patriots trainer Invoice Belichick. He seeks to fix Dave Wannstedt as the one coaches to defeat Belichick and the Patriots in each and every in their first 3 conferences.

Matchup X issue: Raiders edge rusher Maxx Crosby. All of us noticed what he can do Monday night time towards the Packers. In opposition to a susceptible Patriots offensive order, the probability is ripe for a repeat efficiency. — Walder

Accidents: Patriots | Raiders

What to grasp for myth: The Patriots large receivers rank similar the base of the league on the subject of growing parting, in step with NFL Nearest Gen Stats. Fresh England’s offensive order additionally ranks thirtieth in move ban win fee. It’s now not a stunning aggregate for a suffering Patriots passing contest. See Day 6 scores. — Moody

Having a bet nugget: The Raiders are 0-3 ATS on cut remains underneath McDaniels, with all 3 video games going underneath the overall. Learn extra.

Moody’s select: Raiders 17, Patriots 14
Walder’s select: Patriots 15, Raiders 12
FPI prediction: LV, 55.6% (by means of a median of two issues)

Matchup must-reads: May solving the Patriots’ offense come with benching Jones? … Adams ‘satisfied to get that win’ vs. former Packers crew … Is Adams happy? The big name receiver opens up

play games

1:42

Schefter joins McAfee to speak Belichick’s month with Patriots

Adam Schefter joins Pat McAfee to talk about Invoice Belichick’s month with the Patriots. (edited)


4:25 p.m. ET | FOX | Unfold: LAR -7 (48.5)

Storyline to observe: With operating again James Conner on injured retain on account of a knee shock, the Cardinals don’t have any other again with greater than 48 speeding yards to this point. However the Rams’ accelerate protection ranks twenty fifth in DVOA and allowed 159 speeding yards to the Eagles in Day 5. — Sarah Barshop

Daring prediction: Cardinals quarterback Joshua Dobbs will manufacture up for Conner’s absence and feature the most productive contest of his profession. He’ll throw for greater than 300 yards and accelerate for no less than 100 towards a Rams protection that ranks sixteenth in opponent scoring (21.6 issues allowed in keeping with contest) within the Cardinals’ moment win of the season. — Josh Weinfuss

Stat to grasp: Dobbs has thrown six passing touchdowns thru his first 5 video games with the Cardinals. He wishes 4 extra to attach Gary Hogeboom for essentially the most landing passes (10) thru a participant’s first six video games with Arizona.

Matchup X issue: Cardinals operating again Emari Demercado. With Conner injured, Demercado could be the only to hold the workload in his absence. We all know the Cardinals will wish to run the ball, so he will have to play games a heavy function on this contest. — Walder

Accidents: Cardinals | Rams

What to grasp for myth: Rams QB Matthew Stafford has averaged 290.2 passing yards in keeping with contest and has Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua as his lead two receivers. In relation to myth issues allowed in keeping with contest, Arizona’s protection has allowed the seventh-most issues to large receivers and the 1/3 maximum to quarterbacks. — Moody

Having a bet nugget: The Rams are 5-0-1 ATS of their future six video games following a loss. Learn extra.

Moody’s select: Rams 28, Cardinals 21
Walder’s select: Rams 27, Cardinals 14
FPI prediction: LAR, 72.7% (by means of a median of 8.3 issues)

Matchup must-reads: With Conner on IR, what’s nearest for Cardinals’ offense? … Nacua, Kupp tandem is a ‘champagne disorder’ for Rams … First-quarter struggles conserve placing Cardinals ‘in the back of the 8 ball’ … McVay says Jefferson business was once ideal for all sides


4:25 p.m. ET | FOX | Unfold: PHI -7 (41)

Storyline to observe: This contest options two of essentially the most fertile operating backs within the NFL — the Eagles’ D’Andre Hasty (434 yards, fourth in speeding yards) and the Jets’ Breece Corridor (387, 6th), who’s coming off a 177-yard gem in a win over the Broncos. The Jets’ possibilities of pulling off the disillusioned — and their first-ever win over the Eagles — hinge on a heavy contest from Corridor, who’s totally recovered from endmost season’s ACL surgical operation. — Affluent prosperous Cimini

Daring prediction: Eagles receiver DeVonta Smith will top the way in which with 120-plus receiving yards. The Eagles’ talent avid gamers jerk turns dominating the stat sheet. A.J. Brown and Dallas Goedert have taken middle degree in fresh weeks. Coming off a one-catch time out towards the Rams, Smith will emerge as the focus to penetrate a Jets move protection that has restricted offenses to 206 passing yards in keeping with contest and is connect for fourth within the NFL in interceptions (5). — Tim McManus

Stat to grasp: Eagles QB Jalen Hurts has 55 rushes (essentially the most amongst QBs), 206 speeding yards (moment maximum) and 4 touchdowns (connect for essentially the most) this season. He’s dealing with the Jets who’ve allowed the second-most speeding yards to opposing QBs this season (163).

Matchup X issue: The Jets’ offensive order. Simply because it was once launch to determine issues out, the order misplaced its ideal participant in Alijah Vera-Tucker for the season. The gang has its paintings decrease out for it towards the Eagles. It’s a heavy ask to give protection to Zach Wilson this presen. — Walder

Accidents: Eagles | Jets

What to grasp for myth: The Jets are the one crew within the league that averages extra yards in keeping with speeding play games (5.4) than passing play games (5.0). The Jets’ offensive order ranks thirteenth in run ban win fee, which bodes smartly for Corridor. — Moody

Having a bet nugget: The Eagles are 12-0 outright and 11-1 ATS all-time towards the Jets, with six instantly covers. Learn extra.

Moody’s select: Eagles 31, Jets 17
Walder’s select: Eagles 28, Jets 16
FPI prediction: PHI, 65.3% (by means of a median of five.4 issues)

Matchup must-reads: Rookie Carter already generating at historical year … Jets vow to be in a position for Eagles’ distinctive tush push formation … Corridor comes complete circle in appearing NFL international he’s again


4:25 p.m. ET | FOX | Unfold: DET -3 (43.5)

Storyline to observe: The chief of the NFC North faces the chief of the NFC South. The Lions’ offense is on fireplace, averaging 29.6 issues in keeping with contest — fourth ideal within the league — day the Bucs boast one of the crucial league’s stingiest pink zone defenses. The Bucs are conserving fighters to a 27.3% potency ranking within the pink zone (moment ideal), and opposing quarterbacks are finishing simply 33.3% in their passes within the pink zone, the most productive mark within the NFL. — Jenna Laine

Daring prediction: Lions operating again David Sir Bernard Law will accelerate for 100-plus yards for a 3rd instantly contest. Tampa Bay’s accelerate protection isn’t any slouch, permitting simply 379 overall speeding yards at the season, however Sir Bernard Law is in a groove, and the Lions proceed to feed him. Deny Lions participant has on a tight schedule for 100 or extra yards in 3 consecutive video games since Corridor of Famer Barry Sanders (1998). — Eric Woodyard

Stat to grasp: The Buccaneers have allowed 4 sacks this season, which is the fewest allowed by means of the crew thru 4 video games since 2008 (additionally 4). The Lions have registered 14 sacks to this point this season, connect for 14th-most within the NFL.

Matchup X issue: Lions large receiver Jameson Williams. He had two receptions for two yards endmost presen, however he performed 47% of the snaps. I may see him creating a heavy affect quickly. — Walder

Accidents: Lions | Buccaneers

What to grasp for myth: The one groups with extra speeding makes an attempt than the Lions (165) are the Eagles (179) and 49ers (173). However the Buccaneers’ protection has held its fighters to fewer than 80 speeding yards in 3 of 4 video games this season. See Day 6 scores. — Moody

Having a bet nugget: The Lions are 27-12 ATS underneath trainer Dan Campbell, the most productive list within the NFL in that span. They’re 4-1 ATS this season with 3 instantly covers. Learn extra.

Moody’s select: Lions 31, Buccaneers 27
Walder’s select: Lions 35, Buccaneers 13
FPI prediction: DET, 55% (by means of a median of one.8 issues)

Matchup must-reads: Mosely tears ACL for moment past in a row … Mayfield’s Bucs renaissance, and what’s nearest … Goff: Lions turning into ‘extra mature crew’ … Assured Bucs embracing Bowles generation on all sides of ball

play games

0:46

The important thing to Baker Mayfield’s turnaround with the Bucs

Marcus Spears says Buccaneers QB Baker Mayfield is extra at ease and is taking part in distant with fewer expectancies this season.


8:20 p.m. ET | NBC | Unfold: BUF -14 (45)

Storyline to observe: This contest represents a heavy bounce-back alternative for the Expenses’ offense later a subpar efficiency towards the Jaguars — particularly for the field contest. The Giants have give up 5.3 yards in keeping with accelerate (twenty ninth) and six.3 yards in keeping with play games (31) this season. A Expenses offense that scored 37-plus issues in a three-game stretch sooner than Day 5 will probably be a problem for this Giants protection. — Alaina Getzenberg

Daring prediction: Giants RB Saquon Barkley will accelerate for 100-plus yards in his go back from an ankle shock in spite of perceptible fewer than 15 carries. This may appear unbelievable given the surrounding of the Giants’ offensive order and Barkley’s monitor list later coming back from ankle accidents. However the Giants’ order is best at run blocking off than move blocking off (certain, it’s a low bar at this level), and Buffalo is beat up defensively. The Expenses are permitting 134.0 speeding yards in keeping with contest, twenty fifth within the NFL. Welcome again, Saquon! — Jordan Raanan

Stat to grasp: The Expenses have worn nickel protection on 95.8% in their performs this season, the very best fee within the NFL. They’ve ruled fighters the use of five-plus defensive backs, score first in each touchdown-to-interception ratio and sack fee. The Giants, who try towards defenses with five-plus defensive backs, rank endmost in the ones metrics.

Matchup X issue: Expenses edge rusher Von Miller. He performed simply 23% of the snaps endmost presen, however that possibly will probably be expanding towards the Giants. And the Expenses want the assistance, too, with DaQuan Jones now injured. — Walder

Accidents: Giants | Expenses

What to grasp for myth: Fresh York’s protection has give up the fifth-most myth issues to operating backs to this point this season. Don’t be afraid to start out James Cook dinner. See Day 6 scores. — Moody

Having a bet nugget: The Giants are 0-5 ATS this season, the worst within the NFL. Terminating season, the Giants had been 13-4 ATS, the most productive mark within the NFL. Learn extra.

Moody’s select: Expenses 38, Giants 17
Walder’s select: Expenses 30, Giants 17
FPI prediction: BUF, 89.3% (by means of a median of 17 issues)

Matchup must-reads: Jones now not fearful neck shock is long-term factor … Expenses have difficult highway forward with defensive accidents piling up


Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET | ESPN | Unfold: DAL -2.5 (51)

Storyline to observe: The Cowboys fired offensive coordinator Kellen Moore later endmost season’s divisional-round playoff loss, with trainer Mike McCarthy taking on because the crew’s offensive playcaller. The Chargers briefly scooped up Moore later firing their coordinator, Joe Lombardi, and Moore has the Chargers a few of the league’s ideal passing offenses. Now he’s going to face his former crew unutilized off the Cowboys’ 32-point loss to the 49ers, through which the Cowboys scored simply 10 issues. — Kris Rhim

Daring prediction: Cowboys QB Dak Prescott will throw for 300 yards. That could be common for lots of quarterbacks, but it surely hasn’t been familiar for Prescott. In his future 17 begins, he has one 300-yard contest. The Chargers’ move protection has had an every-other-game really feel to this point, permitting 466 and 367 yards within the first and 1/3 video games. Possibly the bye will assistance Los Angeles, however Prescott may have a heavy night time. — Todd Archer

Stat to grasp: Over the future 3 seasons, Herbert has been one of the crucial league’s ideal QBs underneath power, score 1/3 in QBR (66.1), 6th in of entirety share (67.5%), moment in passing yards (10,859), 5th in passing touchdowns (70) and 1/3 in sack fee when underneath power (15.5%). The Cowboys top the NFL in power share over that very same span.

Matchup X issue: McCarthy. He sought after offensive playcalling tasks again, however to this point the effects haven’t been there. Dallas ranks simply fifteenth in EPA in keeping with play games on that facet of the ball, with neither the passing contest nor speeding contest cracking the lead 10. — Walder

Accidents: Cowboys | Chargers

What to grasp for myth: The Cowboys’ protection ranks twenty fifth in run prohibit win fee (29.1%), day the Chargers’ offensive order ranks 6th in run ban win fee (72.4%). For myth managers, L.A. operating again Austin Ekeler’s anticipated go back comes at a stunning future. — Moody

Having a bet nugget: The Cowboys are 5-0 ATS later a loss within the future two seasons and 9-1 ATS within the future 3 seasons (seven instantly covers). Learn extra.

Moody’s select: Chargers 27, Cowboys 17
Walder’s select: Chargers 30, Cowboys 23
FPI prediction: LAC, 55.4% (by means of a median of one.9 issues)

Matchup must-reads: Cowboys’ D objectives to rebound vs. Chargers … Ekeler: ‘99% probability’ of go back vs. Cowboys … Jones nonetheless believes in Cowboys, Prescott later rout



Source link

Leave a Comment