NFL Day 3 alternatives, time table, odds, accidents, myth guidelines

Rick


The Day 3 NFL time table for the 2023 season is stacked with superb matchups, and we’ve were given you lined with what you want to understand heading into the weekend. Our NFL Community journalists convey us the most important keys to each competition and a daring prediction for every matchup.

Moreover, ESPN Stats & Knowledge supplies a large stat to understand and a having a bet nugget for every duel, and our Soccer Energy Index (FPI) is going throughout the numbers with a competition projection. Analytics scribbler Seth Walder alternatives out every matchup’s largest X issue, and myth analyst Eric Moody arms out useful myth soccer intel. In spite of everything, Walder and Moody give us ultimate rating alternatives for each competition. The whole thing you need to understand is right here in a single spot to backup you get in a position for a loaded weekend of NFL soccer.

Let’s get into the whole Day 3 slate, together with an AFC East Patriots-Jets showdown, Justin Herbert vs. Kirk Cousins and a couple of first-round rookie working backs going through off. All of it culminates with a doubleheader on “Monday Night Football” — the Eagles seek advice from the Buccaneers (7:15 p.m. ET) on ABC/ESPN+ and the Rams jerk at the Bengals (8:15 p.m. ET) on ESPN/ESPN2. (Sport occasions are Sunday until differently famous.)

Leap to a matchup:
ATL-DET | BUF-WSH | NO-GB
DEN-MIA | TEN-CLE | LAC-MIN
NE-NYJ | HOU-JAX | IND-BAL
CAR-SEA | CHI-KC | DAL-ARI
PIT-LV | PHI-TB | LAR-CIN

Thursday: SF 30, NYG 12

1 p.m. ET | CBS | Unfold: DET -3 (46)

Storyline to observe: Atlanta’s Disagree. 8 total decide, Bijan Robinson, and the Lions’ Disagree. 12 total decide, Jahmyr Gibbs, can be in motion in the similar competition on Sunday. Gibbs desires to be the most productive working again in the market however says he has been inspired by way of Robinson to this point. Robinson and Gibbs have been the primary pair of working backs to progress within the height 12 alternatives of the draft since 2017, when Leonard Fournette and Christian McCaffrey have been decided on fourth and 8th, respectively. — Eric Woodyard

Daring prediction: With Detroit’s offensive sequence banged up — Taylor Decker (ankle) and Halapoulivaati Vaitai (left knee) are coping with accidents — Falcons defensive finish Calais Campbell makes non-public historical past, choosing up profession sack Disagree. 100 in the second one quarter. It is going to be considered one of 3 sacks the Falcons have towards Detroit, which might double their overall for the season. — Michael Rothstein

Stat to understand: Robinson has 180 speeding yards (the second one maximum within the NFL) and leads all working backs in receptions (10) this season.

Matchup X issue: Falcons defensive take on David Onyemata. He has arise plethora to this point this yr with a 22% go pluck win price at defensive take on, the fourth ideally suited on the place. If he and Grady Jarrett are ready to fracture throughout the Lions’ offensive sequence and disrupt quarterback Jared Goff, that may progress far towards slowing unwell the explosive Detroit offense. — Walder

Accidents: Falcons | Lions

What to understand for myth: Goff has some of the best possible on-target charges via Day 2. He has produced a quarterback ranking of 85 or upper in every of the date 9 video games and has averaged 19.4 myth issues in line with competition in that span. See Day 3 scores. — Moody

Having a bet nugget: The Lions are 24-12 towards the unfold (ATS) below Dan Campbell, the second-best mark within the NFL in that span (since 2021). He’s 3-3 outright and ATS as a favourite. Learn extra.

Moody’s decide: Lions 31, Falcons 27
Walder’s decide: Lions 30, Falcons 20
FPI prediction: DET, 55.1% (by way of a mean of one.9 issues)

Matchup must-reads: Falcons’ Okudah in a position for go back to Detroit … 1st viscount montgomery of alamein may just omit ‘couple weeks’ … Ridder nonetheless striving for development upcoming 2-0 arrive … Lions lose Gardner-Johnson to torn pec; he hopes to be again in 2023

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0:42

Why myth mangers must arrive Jahmyr Gibbs in Day 3

Mike Clay breaks unwell why Jahmyr Gibbs can be a cast RB1 for myth managers in Day 3.


1 p.m. ET | CBS | Unfold: BUF -6.5 (43.5)

Storyline to observe: Sunday’s competition will come all the way down to who wins the struggle outdoor the region: Expenses quarterback Josh Allen or Washington’s protection? Washington has allowed 16 dropbacks to be prolonged outdoor the region — moment maximum within the NFL — however ranks fourth in of entirety proportion on the ones performs (33.3%). In the meantime, Allen has thrown 3 touchdowns hour outdoor the region — secured for first within the NFL — and has thrown for the fifth-most yards (79). — John Keim

Daring prediction: The 2 groups will mix for a minimum of 10 sacks. The Commanders are secured for the league govern in sacks with 10, however they’ve additionally give up 10 sacks (secured for moment maximum). So, the Expenses can have a possibility to extend their sack overall from 3. — Alaina Getzenberg

Stat to understand: The Expenses have gained 8 of 9 matchups towards the Commanders since dropping Tremendous Bowl XXVI following the 1991 season. Seven of the ones 8 wins were by way of double digits (their handiest loss used to be on street in Day 15 of 2015).

Matchup X issue: Commanders cornerback Kendall Fuller. He’s off to a sizzling arrive with only a 9% goal price — ideally suited amongst all corners with a minimum of 50 protection snaps — and zero.2 yards in line with protection snap allowed, in line with NFL Later Gen Stats. If the Commanders are going to overcome the Expenses, preventing the Buffalo go competition can be key. — Walder

Accidents: Expenses | Commanders

What to understand for myth: The Commanders have allowed the seventh-most myth issues in line with competition to huge receivers. Buffalo WR Stefon Diggs has 17 receptions for 242 yards and a landing in two video games at Washington. See Day 3 scores. — Moody

Having a bet nugget: Sam Howell is 2-0 outright as an underdog in his profession. Learn extra.

Moody’s decide: Expenses 27, Commanders 21
Walder’s decide: Expenses 33, Commanders 17
FPI prediction: BUF, 73.4% (by way of a mean of 8.8 issues)

Matchup must-reads: Expenses’ balanced manner might be unutilized blueprint … Commanders relishing beginning 2-0 … Younger’s splashy go back a just right signal for Washington’s protection


1 p.m. ET | Fox | Unfold: GB -2 (42.5)

Storyline to observe: Jordan Love has settled into the QB1 activity, however there’s something he hasn’t carried out but: Get started a competition at Lambeau Ground. In truth, maximum of his taking part in future over the date 3 seasons has come at the street. Of his 135 profession passing makes an attempt, handiest 11 were at Lambeau Ground. Saints quarterback Derek Carr has one profession arrive at Lambeau in 2019 — he threw for 293 yards and two landing passes in a loss as a member of the Raiders. — Rob Demovsky

Daring prediction: The Saints will stock the Packers to not up to 100 speeding yards. Inexperienced Bay is averaging simply 88 speeding yards via two video games, and working again Aaron Jones neglected terminating era with a hamstring trauma. The Packers may just indubitably take a look at the Saints’ go protection, which can be with out beginning protection Marcus Maye (suspended), however their run protection can be stout once more, particularly if Jones isn’t 100%. — Katherine Terrell

Stat to understand: The Saints have held combatants to twenty or fewer issues in a franchise-record 10 instantly video games. The one workforce with an extended streak over the date 25 seasons used to be the Patriots (11 instantly in 2018-19).

Matchup X issue: Packers huge receiver Jayden Reed. The rookie has a whopping 38% goal price in two video games, which places him at the back of Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce. — Walder

Accidents: Saints | Packers

What to understand for myth: Love has scored 20 or extra myth issues in consecutive video games and leads the league in passer ranking (123.2). See Day 3 scores. — Moody

Having a bet nugget: Inexperienced Bay is 13-4 ATS upcoming a loss below Matt LaFleur. Learn extra.

Moody’s decide: Packers 28, Saints 21
Walder’s decide: Packers 19, Saints 16
FPI prediction: GB, 53.3% (by way of a mean of one.2 issues)

Matchup must-reads: Williams (hamstring) anticipated to omit future … Love no longer in a position to construct up for Packers’ deficiencies — but … Saints WR trio creating a extra in crunch future


1 p.m. ET | CBS | Unfold: MIA -6.5 (48.5)

Storyline to observe: The Dolphins search their moment instantly 3-0 arrive below Mike McDaniel, they usually’ve were given a superb matchup ready of their house opener. Miami’s NFL-best passing offense (355 yards/competition) faces the Broncos’ Twenty first-ranked go protection (233 yards/competition) — even supposing Miami may well be with out huge receiver Jaylen Waddle, who entered concussion protocol this era. — Marcel Louis-Jacques

Daring prediction: The Broncos will want persistence and a few stops by way of their very own protection, however they’ll have their first 100-yard rusher of the season. Miami’s protection, with former Broncos teacher Vic Fangio calling the photographs, makes it hardened to search out the large performs within the passing competition. However the Broncos’ 3 backs — Javonte Williams, Samaje Perine and rookie Jaleel McLaughlin — or even QB Russell Wilson must in finding some room towards a Miami protection that allowed 233 yards speeding to the Chargers in Day 1 and is permitting opposing runners to achieve 4.94 yards in line with lift. — Jeff Legwold

Stat to understand: Wilson’s 17 QBR vs. guy protection this season is the second one worst within the NFL at the back of Steelers QB Kenny Pickett. The Dolphins have impaired guy protection on the third-highest price within the NFL throughout the first two weeks of the 2023 season (62% of future).

Matchup X issue: Broncos cornerback Pat Surtain II. He’s off to a pleasing arrive this season with simply 42 yards allowed over 60 protection snaps (that 0.7 yards in line with protection snap allowed ranks 6th ideally suited amongst corners with a minimum of 50 protection snaps, in line with NFL Later Gen Stats). Containing the Dolphins’ huge receivers is a mighty problem, however Surtain is one nook who may well be up for it. — Walder

Accidents: Broncos | Dolphins

What to understand for myth: Wilson has averaged 280.7 passing yards and 18.5 myth issues in line with competition towards the Dolphins in his profession. In two video games this season, Wilson has thrown for 485 passing yards, 5 passing touchdowns and in a rush for 57 yards. See Day 3 scores. — Moody

Having a bet nugget: The Dolphins are 14-5-1 ATS as house favorites since 2017. Learn extra.

Moody’s decide: Dolphins 35, Broncos 30
Walder’s decide: Dolphins 24, Broncos 20
FPI prediction: MIA, 70% (by way of a mean of seven.4 issues)

Matchup must-reads: Payton eyeing techniques to recovery clock control problems … Tagovailoa, Dolphins’ offense off to sizzling begin to 2023 season


1 p.m. ET | CBS | Unfold: CLE -3.5 (39.5)

Storyline to observe: How will quarterback Deshaun Watson bounce-back following a fatal “Monday Night Football” efficiency by which he had a 55% of entirety proportion, used to be sacked six occasions and fumbled two times? The Titans’ protection is secured for the eighth-most sacks (7) via two video games, which doesn’t bode neatly for Watson. The protection additionally gained’t have to fret about All-Professional working again Nick Chubb, who’s misplaced for the season with a knee trauma. — Jake Trotter

Daring prediction: A past due strip sack will govern to a Titans win. The Titans’ defensive sequence has constantly i’m ready its center of attention on attending to the quarterback and knocking the ball out. Given how Watson has 3 fumbles in two video games, this era can be a main alternative for Titans defensive lineman Jeffery Simmons and the protection to generate a past due giveover. — Turron Davenport

Stat to understand: The Browns have no longer allowed any purple zone touchdowns or garden objectives. They will be the first workforce since a minimum of 1978 not to permit any purple zone issues via 3 video games.

Matchup X issue: The Browns’ strangely sturdy run protection. Next score twenty ninth in EPA in line with designed run allowed terminating season, the protection ranks 1/3 within the section upcoming two weeks in 2023. That’s remarkable towards a Titans workforce this is higher at the farmland than throughout the breeze. — Walder

Accidents: Titans | Browns

What to understand for myth: Operating again Kareem Hunt, who signed with the Browns following Chubb’s trauma, trailed handiest Chubb in speeding makes an attempt (442), speeding yards (1,874) and speeding touchdowns (16) right through his earlier 4 seasons with the Browns. See Day 3 scores. — Moody

Having a bet nugget: The Titans are 7-2-1 ATS at the street because the arrive of terminating season (7-1-1 ATS terminating 9). Learn extra.

Moody’s decide: Titans 20, Browns 17
Walder’s decide: Browns 24, Titans 17
FPI prediction: CLE, 57.1% (by way of a mean of two.6 issues)

Matchup must-reads: Tannehill reasserts himself at Titans’ QB1, leaves sinister Day 1 at the back of … Browns lose Chubb for season upcoming ‘important’ knee trauma … With Chubb out, Browns want Watson to play games like $230 million

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1:29

McAfee: Kareem Hunt-Browns reunion is smart

Pat McAfee and workforce react to Kareem Hunt going back on the Browns on a one-year pledge.


1 p.m. ET | Fox | Unfold: MIN -1 (54)

Storyline to observe: Each groups are 0-2 and on a unusual run of dropping related video games, courting again to the 2022 season. The Chargers have misplaced the date 4 video games they’ve performed, all by way of 3 issues or much less, hour the Vikings have misplaced 3 consecutive video games by way of one rating, upcoming successful 11 consecutive such video games. — Kevin Seifert

Daring prediction: Justin Herbert will throw for not up to 200 yards. Herbert has thrown for fewer than 200 yards 4 occasions in his profession, considered one of which got here towards the Vikings in 2021. The Vikings have some of the worst run defenses within the NFL, so the Chargers will depend at the farmland competition. — Kris Rhim

Stat to understand: Keenan Allen wishes 111 receiving yards to go Lance Alworth (9,584) for moment maximum in Chargers historical past.

Matchup X issue: Chargers cornerbacks Asante Samuel Jr., Michael Davis and J.C. Jackson. The trio permits 1.8, 2.7 and three.0 yards in line with protection snap, respectively — the common for corners this yr is 1.4, in line with NFL Later Gen Stats. They’re going towards the Vikings, who’ve the best possible designed go price within the league (80%). — Walder

Accidents: Chargers | Vikings

What to understand for myth: Pace the Vikings traded for Cam Akers to energise their working competition, with Kirk Cousins, Justin Jefferson, T.J. Hockenson and Jordan Addison they’ll proceed to depend closely at the passing competition. This season, the Chargers’ protection has allowed probably the most yards on deep passes. See Day 3 scores. — Moody

Having a bet nugget: The Vikings have lined 5 instantly conferences courting again to 2007. Learn extra.

Moody’s decide: Vikings, 34, Chargers 31
Walder’s decide: Chargers 33, Vikings 28
FPI prediction: LAC, 53.2% (by way of a mean of one.2 issues)

Matchup must-reads: Chargers no longer ‘turning our again on every alternative’ upcoming 0-2 arrive, defensive woes … Jefferson, Cousins and Hunter arrive sizzling forward of pledge talks … Disagree timetable for Ekeler’s go back, teacher says … Vikings nonetheless assured in Mattison upcoming Akers trade in

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0:29

What number of passing yards will Kirk Cousins rack up vs. the Chargers?

Erin Dolan expects Kirk Cousins to have a large efficiency for the Vikings of their matchup vs. the Chargers.


1 p.m. ET | CBS | Unfold: NE -2.5 (36.5)

Storyline to observe: It’s all concerning the streak (the Patriots have gained 14 instantly on this layout) and two 2021 first-round quarterbacks: Mac Jones and Zach Wilson. Jones has regained his bedrock upcoming a disappointing 2022, hour Wilson, beginning for the injured Aaron Rodgers, seems to overcome his Untouched England demons (0-4 towards the Patriots). — Affluent prosperous Cimini

Daring prediction: A different groups play games will make a decision the sport. Imagine that the Jets have transformed on six instantly faux punts since 2014 (their most up-to-date coming terminating era as opposed to Dallas), which is the second-longest streak over that span. And the NFL continues to be humming over Brenden Schooler’s banned garden function terminating era, because the Patriots glance to restrain a kick in back-to-back video games for the primary future since 2017. — Mike Reiss

Stat to understand: Jones has thrown 96 passes this season, which leads all quarterbacks via two weeks and is the 1/3 maximum by way of any participant within the workforce’s first two video games in franchise historical past (Tom Brady: 100 in 2009, Drew Bledsoe: 98 in 1995).

Matchup X issue: Jets left take on Duane Brown. His 63% go restrain win price ranks worst amongst all tackles. He merely has to offer protection to higher for his quarterback to have a anticipation. — Walder

Accidents: Patriots | Jets

What to understand for myth: With a mean of four.8 yards in line with goal, the Patriots’ huge receiver corps ranks thirty first within the league. Untouched England’s receivers now face a cast Jets cornerback unit. This has the makings of a low-scoring affair. See Day 3 scores. — Moody

Having a bet nugget: Seven of Wilson’s date 8 begins have long gone below the entire. He’s 0-4 outright and ATS in his date 4 begins. Learn extra.

Moody’s decide: Patriots 14, Jets 13
Walder’s decide: Patriots 20, Jets 14
FPI prediction: NYJ, 54.7% (by way of a mean of one.7 issues)

Matchup must-reads: Inside of Patriots’ exciting FG restrain that’s ‘going to switch the sport’ … Jets’ slow-starting offensive sequence vows higher coverage for Wilson


1 p.m. ET | Fox | Unfold: JAX -9 (44.5)

Storyline to observe: The Texans’ offensive sequence is ravaged by way of accidents, which might construct issues tough for rookie QB C.J. Stroud. He hasn’t thrown an interception however has already been sacked 11 occasions in two video games. The Jaguars’ protection has compelled six handovers and sacked opposing quarterbacks six occasions in two video games. That may appear to be a recipe for the Jaguars to win back-to-back video games within the layout for the primary future since 2017. — Michael DiRocco

Daring prediction: Be expecting the Texans to drive a minimum of two handovers, with a couple of sacks, and snatch off the disenchanted. Jaguars quarterback Trevor Lawrence is 1-3 towards the Texans and has thrown 3 landing passes and 6 interceptions. In step with NFL Later Gen Stats, the Texans rank 5th within the league in power price (44%). When Lawrence is careworn, he completes simply 44% of his passes with a ranking of 29. — DJ Bien-Aime

Stat to understand: Stroud has 91 go makes an attempt with out an interception. He’s handiest 44 makes an attempt shy of attaining the height 5 longest streaks to start out a profession (Dak Prescott 176, Tom Brady 162, Kyle Allen 159, Tua Tagovailoa 153 and Carson Wentz/Desmond Ridder 134).

Matchup X issue: Texans working again Dameon Pierce. He has 69 speeding yards in two weeks of motion and now could be going through the Jaguars, who’ve the most productive EPA in line with designed run allowed within the league. Stroud may just undoubtedly significance a modest extra assistance from the farmland competition. — Walder

Accidents: Texans | Jaguars

What to understand for myth: Stroud has accrued 626 passing yards in his first two profession begins. See Day 3 scores. — Moody

Having a bet nugget: The Jaguars are 0-7 ATS of their date seven video games as house favorites (1-6 outright). Learn extra.

Moody’s decide: Jaguars 27, Texans 17
Walder’s decide: Texans 23, Jaguars 21
FPI prediction: JAX, 71.2% (by way of a mean of seven.9 issues)

Matchup must-reads: Loss overshadows Stroud’s historical while for Texans … Suffering offense must worry Jaguars … Texans lose CB Stingley Jr. to hamstring trauma


1 p.m. ET | CBS | Unfold: BAL -8 (45)

Storyline to observe: Lamar Jackson vs. Colts go pluck. Indianapolis ranks moment within the AFC with 8 sacks, together with six terminating Sunday towards the Texans. Ultimate era, Jackson wasn’t sacked for the primary future since September 2022 and confronted a career-low 9.1% power price, regardless of lacking injured beginning middle Tyler Linderbaum and left take on Ronnie Stanley. — Jamison Hensley

Daring prediction: The Colts will stock the Ravens to fewer than 75 speeding yards regardless of Baltimore’s reasonable of 144 yards via two video games. The Colts rank first in speeding protection, permitting simply 2.6 yards in line with lift coming into Day 3. That’s to not say Jackson can’t beat the Colts throughout the breeze. However an efficient efficiency towards the run will construct Baltimore’s offense a little extra one-dimensional and more uncomplicated to shield. — Stephen Holder

Stat to understand: Rookie Zay Vegetation has 13 receptions in his first two video games, which is greater than two times up to any alternative Ravens participant (all alternative Baltimore receivers have mixed for 16).

Matchup X issue: Ravens huge receiver Nelson Agholor. Next Odell Beckham Jr. didn’t end the Ravens’ Day 2 competition and used to be held out of shape on Wednesday, Agholor may tackle a bigger position. If this is the case, he’s coming off a powerful competition by which he stuck 5 passes for 63 yards and a landing. — Walder

Accidents: Colts | Ravens

What to understand for myth: Jackson has the second-highest of entirety proportion (74.5%) amongst quarterbacks via two video games. See Day 3 scores. — Moody

Having a bet nugget: The Colts’ date 5 street video games have long gone over the entire. Learn extra.

Moody’s decide: Ravens 33, Colts 17
Walder’s decide: Ravens 23, Colts 20
FPI prediction: BAL, 77.3% (by way of a mean of 10.5 issues)

Matchup must-reads: With Richardson in concussion protocol, QB’s taste sparks debate … Jackson’s accuracy has taken the Ravens QB to any other degree


4:05 p.m. ET | CBS | Unfold: SEA -6.5 (42)

Storyline to observe: Bryce Younger neglected the primary two days of apply this era with an ankle trauma, placing veteran Andy Dalton in sequence to start out Sunday at Lumen Ground. The 35-year-old Dalton isn’t any place akin the dynamic ultimatum that Younger is, however he did game-manage the Saints to a victory over Seattle terminating October. — Brady Henderson

Daring prediction: Dalton will shiny up a Seattle protection that ranks thirtieth in passing yards allowed (325 in line with competition) with 350 yards and 3 landing passes. That may be plethora, taking into consideration Younger (ankle) has mixed for 299 yards passing and two landing passes within the first two video games. Dalton shouldn’t have to fret about a lot power from the Seahawks, who rank twenty ninth in sacks with two.. — David Newton

Stat to understand: Kenneth Walker III has 4 profession video games with a couple of speeding touchdowns, secured for probably the most by way of a Seahawks participant in his first two seasons in workforce historical past (David Sims, Curt Warner, Derrick Fenner).

Matchup X issue: Dalton. I believe he’ll be an improve over Younger within the rookie’s tide situation — Younger has a 36 QBR in two video games — and that may give Carolina a anticipation. — Walder

Accidents: Panthers | Seahawks

What to understand for myth: The Panthers have allowed a minimum of 130 speeding yards in every in their first two video games. The Seahawks’ offensive sequence ranks 7th in run restrain win price. On this matchup, Walker may exceed expectancies. See Day 3 scores. — Moody

Having a bet nugget: The Seahawks are 1-6 ATS as a favourite over the date two seasons, going 0-5 ATS of their date 5 video games. Learn extra.

Moody’s decide: Seahawks 28, Panthers 17
Walder’s decide: Seahawks 24, Panthers 17
FPI prediction: SEA, 72.5% (by way of a mean of 8.4 issues)

Matchup must-reads: Panthers no longer anticipating Younger to play games vs. Seahawks … Seahawks’ Woolen most likely out Sunday

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0:57

What can myth managers be expecting from Tyler Lockett?

Ground Yates main points the up-and-down nature of Tyler Lockett’s myth manufacturing.


4:25 p.m. ET | Fox | Unfold: KC -13 (48)

Storyline to observe: First to seven issues wins? It hasn’t been that sinister for both workforce, however offensively the Chiefs and Bears were disappointments although two weeks. Those groups are secured for twenty second within the league in scoring with 37 issues via two video games. Each and every workforce, Kansas Town specifically, has reason why to imagine development will come if it may possibly oppose sloppy offensive play games. Nonetheless, the issues were so prevailing for the Chiefs and Bears that it’s no longer sensible to be expecting an explosive, high-scoring competition. — Adam Teicher

Daring prediction: Patrick Mahomes will toss 5 landing passes towards Chicago, 3 of which progress to tight finish Travis Kelce. Matt Eberflus is again to calling the Bears’ protection upcoming former defensive coordinator Alan Williams’ unexpected retirement. Eberflus’ Colts groups held Mahomes to his lowest General QBR (56.3) towards any workforce he has confronted a couple of occasions, together with the playoffs. However the Chiefs quarterback is primed for a breakout efficiency towards a Bears protection that has allowed a mean of 25.5 offensive issues within the first two video games. — Courtney Cronin

Stat to understand: Because the arrive of terminating season, 54% of the Chiefs’ receiving yards have come upcoming the catch, the best possible price within the league. The Bears rank thirty first in opponent YAC in line with reception over the similar span.

Matchup X issue: Bears spare left take on Larry Borom, assuming he will get the decision to switch the injured Braxton Jones. Jones’ 97% go restrain win price ranked 1/3 amongst tackles, so Borom has remarkable sneakers to fill. — Walder

Accidents: Bears | Chiefs

What to understand for myth: Justin Boxes has been sacked on 11.5% of his dropbacks since coming into the league. Boxes has taken 10 sacks to this point this season regardless of having the fifth-highest reasonable future to throw. Don’t disregard the Chiefs should you’re in search of a streamable protection. See Day 3 scores. — Moody

Having a bet nugget: Boxes is 8-18-1 ATS in his profession, together with 0-3 ATS when getting double digits. Learn extra.

Moody’s decide: Chiefs 33, Bears 13
Walder’s decide: Chiefs 38, Bears 16
FPI prediction: KC, 81.9% (by way of a mean of 12.8 issues)

Matchup must-reads: GM says Bears don’t view Boxes ‘as a finger pointer’ … Will Mahomes ever be paid what he’s utility? … Reid says Chiefs ‘can recovery’ Taylor’s penalty woes

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1:38

Greeny: The Bears are “ruining” Justin Boxes

Mike Greenberg is going off at the Chicago Bears, pronouncing the group is incompetent and is “ruining” Justin Boxes.


4:25 p.m. ET | Fox | Unfold: DAL -12 (43)

Storyline to observe: The Cardinals were ready to get to opposing quarterbacks with relative bliss via two video games, score secured for 1/3 with 9 sacks. Sunday can be a struggle of a top-tier go pluck towards a top-tier offensive sequence, because the Cowboys have allowed only one sack of quarterback Dak Prescott. — Josh Weinfuss

Daring prediction: The Cardinals can have extra possessions with fewer than 20 yards towards the Cowboys than the 9 they’ve had of their first two video games of the season. The Cowboys’ protection has had 8 drives in every in their wins, towards the Untouched York Giants and Untouched York Jets, by which they allowed fewer than 20 yards. In 111 snaps, opposing offenses have mixed for 17 negative-yardage performs. At 15.3%, that ranks moment within the NFL. — Todd Archer

Stat to understand: Prescott will play games his one centesimal profession competition towards the Cardinals. He’s the one participant in NFL historical past with a minimum of 150 landing passes and 25 speeding touchdowns in his first 100 video games.

Matchup X issue: Cowboys defensive take on Osa Odighizuwa. Right here’s any other anticipation for Odighizuwa to glow: He’s recently chief the league in go pluck win price as a defensive take on (25%). — Walder

Accidents: Cowboys | Cardinals

What to understand for myth: Dallas has allowed the third-fewest myth issues in line with competition to quarterbacks, the fewest to working backs and the fewest to huge receivers. You probably have avid gamers going through the Cowboys’ protection for your myth groups, mood your expectancies. See Day 3 scores. — Moody

Having a bet nugget: The Cardinals are the 6th workforce within the date 30 seasons to start out 2-0 ATS and 0-2 outright. The ones groups are 1-4 outright and ATS of their 1/3 competition (Falcons gained and lined terminating season). Learn extra.

Moody’s decide: Cowboys 35, Cardinals 10
Walder’s decide: Cowboys 33, Cardinals 3
FPI prediction: DAL, 88.1% (by way of a mean of 16.5 issues)

Matchup must-reads: How Prescott were given in sync with Cowboys’ receivers … Watkins to go through biceps surgical treatment … Cowboys CB Diggs suffers torn ACL … Cardinals’ offense progresses however wishes to complete

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1:02

Swagu: Cowboys are nonetheless contenders with out Trevon Diggs

Marcus Spears says the Dallas Cowboys are nonetheless Tremendous Bowl contenders regardless of Trevon Diggs tearing his ACL.


8:20 p.m. ET | NBC | Unfold: LV -2.5 (43)

Storyline to observe: Beat the Raiders within the groups’ first assembly in Las Vegas and Kenny Pickett would be the first Steelers quarterback to win a competition within the Raiders’ house stadium since … Neil O’Donnell again on Dec. 10, 1995 — 2½ years sooner than Pickett used to be born. The Raiders have gained 4 instantly house video games towards the Steelers (2006, 2012, 2013, 2018) with 4 other QBs (Andrew Walter, Carson Palmer, Terrelle Pryor and Derek Carr) by way of the common rating of 25-21, beating two-time Tremendous Bowl-winning quarterback Ben Roethlisberger in every of the ones contests. The ones video games, although, have been all in Oakland. — Paul Gutierrez

Daring prediction: Josh Jacobs will get his first 100-yard speeding competition of the season. Jacobs averaged just about 100 yards a competition terminating season, so this prediction doesn’t appear that daring. Then again, within the Day 2 loss to the Buffalo Expenses, Jacobs had minus-2 speeding yards on 9 makes an attempt upcoming simply 48 yards a era previous. Jacobs will get again heading in the right direction this era towards the Steelers, who’ve allowed probably the most pluck yards over anticipated (plus-144) of any protection via Day 2 since 2018, in line with NFL Later Gen Stats. — Brooke Pryor

Stat to understand: Davante Adams has 116 instantly video games with a reception, the fifth-longest lively streak within the league, trailing DeAndre Hopkins (147), Travis Kelce (144), Stefon Diggs (121) and Zach Ertz (118).

Matchup X issue: Pickett. The Steelers quarterback used to be bailed out by way of the protection in Day 2, however he needs to be higher for Pittsburgh to be successful in the future. Pickett has an 18.8 QBR, which ranks terminating of all qualifying quarterbacks. — Walder

Accidents: Steelers | Raiders

What to understand for myth: This season, the Raiders have allowed the third-most myth issues in line with competition to working backs. To deliver for Pittsburgh working backs to capitalize in this pattern, its offensive sequence should carry out higher. See Day 3 scores. — Moody

Having a bet nugget: Mike Tomlin is 2-6 ATS in his profession towards the Raiders. He’s 3-5 outright, all as a favourite. Learn extra.

Moody’s decide: Steelers 24, Raiders 21
Walder’s decide: Raiders 27, Steelers 16
FPI prediction: LV, 50.8% (by way of a mean of 0.4 issues)

Matchup must-reads: Fitzpatrick on Chubb clash: ‘I’m no longer a filthy participant’ … Adams criticizes ‘out of keep an eye on’ protection Rapp … Can Pickens backup save the Steelers’ offense? … Two video games, one goal: Renfrow looking to construct sense of Raiders position


Monday, 7:15 p.m. ET | ABC/ESPN+ | Unfold: PHI -5 (46)

Storyline to observe: Nearly no person noticed the Bucs beginning the season off 2-0, however their matchup with the protecting NFC champions would be the handiest struggle of unbeatens in Day 3. With the league’s height two run-stopping gadgets, plus defenses that experience a mixed 12.0 sacks and 11 takeaways, you get the sensation this one will come all the way down to who can give protection to their quarterback higher. — Jenna Laine

Daring prediction: Mike Evans will in finding the top zone two times. He’s coming off a monster six-catch, 171-yard efficiency towards the Bears, and now faces a banged-up Eagles secondary that simply misplaced slot nook Avonte Maddox for the yr with a torn pec. Mario Goodrich were given his first motion as a professional in his park. It’s a barricade guess the Bucs will sequence Evans up inside of to struggle to make the most of Maddox’s absence. — Tim McManus

Stat to understand: DeVonta Smith and A.J. Brown constitute 79% of the Eagles’ receiving yards, 59% of the objectives and 55% of the receptions this season (best possible proportion of a workforce’s receiving yards by way of a duo this season).

Matchup X issue: Buccaneers quarterback Baker Mayfield. He has confronted the bottom price of shiny farmlands (more difficult to throw towards) within the league, and I believe that may exchange this era if Tampa Bay falls at the back of. — Walder

Accidents: Eagles | Buccaneers

What to understand for myth: Evans and Chris Godwin are a skilled and flexible huge receiver duo, and Tampa Bay must depend closely on them. The Eagles recently rank thirty first within the league in go protection, permitting 326 yards in line with competition. See Day 3 scores. — Moody

Having a bet nugget: Mayfield is 3-0 ATS in his date 3 begins and 5-2 ATS in his date seven begins. Learn extra.

Moody’s decide: Eagles 27, Buccaneers 17
Walder’s decide: Eagles 30, Buccaneers 10
FPI prediction: PHI, 69.6% (by way of a mean of seven.2 issues)

Matchup must-reads: Checks verify Maddox tore his pectoral muscle … Bucs WR Mike Evans’ large while activates on-line pattern … Buccaneers’ Shaq Barrett dedicates pick-six to past due daughter

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Why myth managers must arrive A. J. Brown in Day 3

Liz Loza expects A. J. Brown to submit sturdy myth numbers in Day 3.


Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET | ESPN | Unfold: CIN -3 (44)

Storyline to observe: Will Joe Burrow be to be had on Sunday? The Cincinnati QB is day by day as he continues to get well from a strained proper calf that he reinjured in Day 2. Whether or not it’s Burrow or spare QB Jake Browning, the Bengals’ offense that ranks terminating in overall yards in line with competition (212.0) will face a Rams protection that ranks 6th within the NFL in overall yards allowed in line with competition (272.5) this season. — Ben Child

Daring prediction: Without reference to who’s at quarterback for the Bengals, Aaron Donald will make the most of Cincinnati’s inside offensive sequence with two sacks Monday evening. Even though it’s a unutilized aggregate of guard-center-guard for the Bengals, the gang has struggled to offer protection to the quarterback, score thirty first in go restrain win price amongst inside offensive strains because the arrive of the 2022 season, in line with ESPN Stats & Knowledge. Donald leads all inside defenders (with 100 inside pass-rush performs with win or loss) in go pluck win price over that very same span. — Sarah Barshop

Stat to understand: Matthew Stafford’s 93 go makes an attempt this season rank moment within the NFL at the back of Mac Jones (96). Stafford would wish to throw 41 occasions to fix his profession lofty for many go makes an attempt via his workforce’s first 3 video games of a season (135 in 2018 with the Lions).

Matchup X issue: Bengals cornerbacks Cam Taylor-Britt and Chidobe Awuzie. Can any person oppose rookie superstar receiver Puka Nacua? Taylor-Britt and Awuzie would be the untouched to struggle. — Walder

Accidents: Rams | Bengals

What to understand for myth: With Akers long gone, RB Kyren Williams may just simply be a must-start. In terminating era’s competition towards the 49ers, Williams performed 96% of the offensive snaps and had 20 touches. The Bengals rank thirty first in speeding yards allowed to this point this season, which must give Williams room to paintings. See Day 3 scores. — Moody

Having a bet nugget: The Bengals are 9-3 ATS of their date 12 video games as a favourite. Learn extra.

Moody’s decide: Bengals 26, Rams 23
Walder’s decide: Rams 26, Bengals 20
FPI prediction: CIN, 65.3% (by way of a mean of five.5 issues)

Matchup must-reads: Meet Rams sensation Nacua … Burrow ‘day by day’ upcoming tweaking calf trauma in loss to Ravens



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