Simply how weighty is that this occasion’s Purple River competition recreation between Deny. 3 Texas and Deny. 12 Oklahoma?

It’s weighty. It may well be the extreme week a Fat 12 showdown happens between Texas and Oklahoma until they meet once more within the convention championship recreation. Upcoming occasion, they are going to be within the SEC. Each groups input Saturday’s recreation (midday ET, ABC/ESPN App) unbeaten, and the winner takes a weighty step towards the Fat 12 identify tournament.

Texas-Oklahoma additionally has large implications at the Faculty Soccer Playoff race: It’s the second-most impactful extra recreation prior to convention championships, in the back of handiest Penn Surrounding-Ohio Surrounding on Oct. 21, in line with the Allstate Playoff Predictor.

Recently, Oklahoma (53%) and Texas (50%) are the second- and third-most most probably groups to succeed in the CFP, in the back of handiest Ohio Surrounding (54%).

Listed below are the probabilities for Oklahoma and Texas to succeed in the Faculty Soccer Playoff, relying on Saturday’s end result:

Oklahoma with a win: 72%
Oklahoma with a loss: 30%
Texas with a win: 73%
Texas with a loss: 29%

Oklahoma additionally has a probability to win out. The Sooners have a 24% probability to complete the usual season 12-0. They have got greater than an 88% probability to overcome every in their extra non-Texas video games within the usual season (and a 54% probability to overcome Texas).

The sport additionally has really extensive leverage at the probability to succeed in the Fat 12 championship recreation:

Oklahoma with a win: 96%
Oklahoma with a loss: 70%
Texas with a win: 91%
Texas with a loss: 67%

The implausible parity within the playoff race continues to be protecting sturdy: There are 10 groups with no less than a 20% probability to succeed in the CFP and 13 groups with no less than a 5% prospect.

In the meantime, within the SEC …

Any other race with a leverage recreation is Kentucky-Georgia within the SEC East. The Bulldogs are big favorites (86% probability to win) but when Kentucky pulls off the disappointed there might be main implications.

Anticipation to win SEC East, relying on end result:

Kentucky with a win: 38%
Kentucky with a loss: 1%
Georgia with a win: 87%
Georgia with a loss: 40%

In a similar fashion, Alabama-Texas A&M has weighty repercussions within the SEC West. Alabama has a 66% risk to win the sport, in keeping with FPI.

Anticipation to win SEC West, relying on end result:

Alabama with a win: 86%
Alabama with a loss: 34%
Texas A&M with a win: 42%
Texas A&M with a loss: 2%